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Combat Edge Intelligence

Naoki Inoue vs Yrysbek Tilenov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Tale of the tape

21-5-0Record8-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'8"
71"Reach68"
134 lbsWeight134 lbs
Kill Cliff FCTeamIhlas

What's at stake

Naoki Inoue is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Yrysbek Tilenov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Naoki InoueNow 1737
If they win+10→ 1747
If they lose-14→ 1723
Yrysbek TilenovNow 1665
If they win+29→ 1694
If they lose-19→ 1646

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1643 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.67
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
35%
Strike accuracy
Not available
3.37
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
61%
Strike defense
Not available
0
Takedown avg.
Not available
0%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
60%
Takedown defense
Not available
2.50
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Naoki InoueYrysbek Tilenov
15501600165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (10%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
9 (43%)
Submission
1 (13%)
10 (48%)
Decision
2 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Naoki Inoue78%
Yrysbek Tilenov 22%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Naoki Inoue a 78% favorite over Yrysbek Tilenov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Naoki Inoue holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1737 to 1665, a 72-point edge.

Yrysbek Tilenov enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Naoki Inoue finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Yrysbek Tilenov 75%.

Naoki Inoue carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.