Naoki Inoue vs Yrysbek Tilenov

Nov 8, 2026 · RIZIN.TV

Combat Edge model forecast69%Naoki Inoue31%Yrysbek TilenovFull forecast and your pick

DateNov 8, 2026

DivisionBantamweight

StatusScheduled

VenueLaLa arena TOKYO-BAY

BroadcastRIZIN.TV

Naoki Inoue21-5-0Naoki Inoue vs Yrysbek TilenovYrysbek Tilenov8-1-0

Naoki Inoue21-5-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

21-5-0Record8-1-0

29Age22

5'8"Height5'8"

71"Reach68"

134 lbsWeight134 lbs

BantamweightWeight ClassBantamweight

Yrysbek Tilenov8-1-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Naoki Inoue owns a 72-point Elo edge (good). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. 1 shared opponent give extra context.

Compare Naoki Inoue and Yrysbek Tilenov across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Naoki InoueYrysbek Tilenov

Recent form

Naoki InoueW L W W W · +39 Elo last 5

WLWWW

Yrysbek TilenovW W W W W · +111 Elo last 5

WWWWW

Elo edge

Naoki Inoue1737+9 last move

Yrysbek Tilenov1665+25 last move

Why they are ranked here

Naoki Inoue#29 of 382 active Bantamweight fighters · 1737 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Soo Chul Kim (rated 1717 at the time): +20.
Costliest loss: Lost to Hiromasa Ougikubo (rated 1489 at the time): -25.
Last 5 fights: 4 wins, 1 loss, +39 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #28 Juan Díaz, 1 ahead of #30 Rafael Estevam.

Yrysbek Tilenov#108 of 382 active Bantamweight fighters · 1665 Elo

Biggest gain: Beat Talant Esdaulet (rated 1500 at the time): +29.
Costliest loss: Lost to Erzat Shashubaev (rated 1500 at the time): -31.
Last 5 fights: 5 wins, 0 losses, +111 Elo in total.
Next places: 1 point behind #107 Bekzat Almakhan, 3 ahead of #109 Movsar Ibragimov.

Every rated fight moves a rating by an amount set by the opponent's rating at the time, the result and how it ended. Places are counted among fighters active in the last 24 months. How the rating is calculated

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.8-2026-10-04

69%Naoki Inoue31%Yrysbek Tilenov

Model favoriteNaoki Inoue

Elo baseline60% for Naoki Inoue

Matchup adjustment+9 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Naoki InoueStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Naoki Inoue leads the full model at 69%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 9 points.

Current Elo ratings1737 · 1665Naoki Inoue leads by 72 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1643 · 1521Naoki Inoue faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 9 sampled fights).

Elo record depth26 · 9 fightsNaoki Inoue has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

What's at stake

Naoki InoueNow 1737 · #29 Bantamweight

Wins by decision+10→ 1747

Loses by decision-14→ 1723

Yrysbek TilenovNow 1665 · #108 Bantamweight

Wins by decision+29→ 1694

Loses by decision-19→ 1646

What-if simulatorPremium

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Projected with the same rules as the rankings, at today's ratings. Split decisions move ratings less and finishes more.

Stat advantages

Naoki InouevsYrysbek Tilenov

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Naoki Inouedecision leads 48% of wins

Yrysbek TilenovKO/TKO leads 63% of wins

Common opponents

Shinobu OtaNaoki Inoue: cancelled · Cancelled Bout · Oct 1, 2023Yrysbek Tilenov: win · TKO (Knee) · Jul 17, 2026

Tale of the tape

Naoki InoueYrysbek Tilenov

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.67Sig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.72

35Sig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 45%

3.37Sig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 3.75

61Sig. strike defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 54%

0Takedown averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 1.52

0Takedown accuracyNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 26%

60Takedown defenseNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 61%

2.50Submission averageNot available

UFC bantamweight average : 0.52

2Wins by knockout5

9Wins by submission1

10Wins by decision2

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission1

5Losses by decision0

Naoki Inoue vs Yrysbek Tilenov is a scheduled Bantamweight fight on RIZIN 55. Naoki Inoue enters with a 21-5-0 record and Yrysbek Tilenov enters with a 8-1-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.