Combat Edge Intelligence

Naoki Tanaka vs Victor Nunes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

3-2-0Record12-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFlyweight
5'9"Height5'7"
-Reach-
145 lbsWeight125 lbs
Fighter's FlowTeamPitbull Jiu-Jitsu Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Naoki TanakaNow 1554
If they win+23→ 1577
If they lose-25→ 1529
Victor NunesNow 1542
If they win+17→ 1559
If they lose-15→ 1527

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1485 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Naoki TanakaVictor Nunes
145015001550202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (67%)
KO/TKO
7 (58%)
1 (33%)
Submission
2 (17%)
0 (0%)
Decision
3 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Naoki Tanaka81%
Victor Nunes 19%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Naoki Tanaka a 81% favorite over Victor Nunes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1554 vs 1542), separated by just 12 points.

Naoki Tanaka enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Naoki Tanaka finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Victor Nunes 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.