Combat Edge Intelligence

Natália Silva vs Victoria Leonardo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

20-5-1Record10-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
65"Reach64"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Team BorrachaTeamElite Combat Academy

What's at stake

Natália Silva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Victoria Leonardo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Natália SilvaNow 1746
If they win+8→ 1754
If they lose-24→ 1722
Victoria LeonardoNow 1559
If they win+24→ 1583
If they lose-8→ 1551

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1563 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.04
Sig. strikes / min
3.22
46%
Strike accuracy
39%
2.46
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.81
65%
Strike defense
47%
0.34
Takedown avg.
1.57
25%
Takedown accuracy
28%
92%
Takedown defense
71%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Natália SilvaVictoria Leonardo
155016001650170017502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (26%)
KO/TKO
1 (10%)
7 (37%)
Submission
5 (50%)
7 (37%)
Decision
4 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Natália Silva92%
Victoria Leonardo 8%Elo baseline: 75%

The Combat Edge model makes Natália Silva a 92% favorite over Victoria Leonardo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).

Natália Silva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1746 to 1559, a 187-point edge.

Natália Silva enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Natália Silva finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Victoria Leonardo 60%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.