Combat Edge Intelligence

Natan Levy vs Rafa García

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Natan Levy
il

Natan Levy

“Lethal”

8-2-0LightweightUFC

1635Solid

Tale of the tape

8-2-0Record19-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'9"Height5'7"
71"Reach70"
157 lbsWeight155 lbs
Syndicate MMATeamTeam Elevation

What's at stake

Rafa García is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Natan Levy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Natan LevyNow 1635
If they win+21→ 1656
If they lose-11→ 1624
Rafa GarcíaNow 1756
If they win+11→ 1767
If they lose-21→ 1735

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1679 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.70
Sig. strikes / min
4.28
52%
Strike accuracy
44%
3.19
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.42
59%
Strike defense
61%
5.03
Takedown avg.
3.22
58%
Takedown accuracy
17%
41%
Takedown defense
77%
0.48
Submission avg.
0.40

Trajectory

Natan LevyRafa García
160016501700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
2 (11%)
3 (38%)
Submission
8 (44%)
5 (63%)
Decision
8 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Rafa García79%
Natan Levy 21%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Rafa García a 79% favorite over Natan Levy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Rafa García holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1756 to 1635, a 121-point edge.

Rafa García enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Natan Levy finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Rafa García 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.