Nate Landwehr vs Richie Smullen
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-8-0Record15-5-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
72"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
MMA MastersTeamSBG Ireland
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
If they win+16→ 1664
If they lose-16→ 1632
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1551 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Nate LandwehrRichie Smullen
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nate Landwehr64%
Richie Smullen 36%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nate Landwehr a 64% favorite over Richie Smullen in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1648 vs 1648), separated by just 0 points.
Nate Landwehr enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Richie Smullen enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Nate Landwehr finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Richie Smullen 80%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.