Combat Edge Intelligence

Nate Landwehr vs Tobias Harila

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tobias Harila
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Tobias Harila

“Bad Intention”

13-4-0FeatherweightFCR

1640Solid

Tale of the tape

18-8-0Record13-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'9"
72"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
MMA MastersTeamVasteras Fight Club

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nate LandwehrNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624
Tobias HarilaNow 1640
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.63
Sig. strikes / min
0
46%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
52%
Strike defense
TBD
0.76
Takedown avg.
TBD
42%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
72%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.76
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Nate LandwehrTobias Harila
1650170020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (50%)
KO/TKO
11 (85%)
2 (11%)
Submission
0 (0%)
7 (39%)
Decision
2 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Nate Landwehr57%
Tobias Harila 43%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nate Landwehr a 57% favorite over Tobias Harila in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1640), separated by just 0 points.

Nate Landwehr enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Nate Landwehr finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Tobias Harila 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.