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Combat Edge Intelligence

Nathan Fletcher vs Ricky Palacios

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record11-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
70"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Next Generation MMA LiverpoolTeam

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nathan FletcherNow 1658
If they win+16→ 1674
If they lose-16→ 1642
Ricky PalaciosNow 1657
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1556 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.41
Sig. strikes / min
7.73
60%
Strike accuracy
54%
2.16
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.27
58%
Strike defense
60%
3.37
Takedown avg.
0
31%
Takedown accuracy
Not available
50%
Takedown defense
100%
0.67
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Nathan FletcherRicky Palacios
16501700201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
7 (64%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (18%)
Decision
5 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Nathan Fletcher70%
Ricky Palacios 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nathan Fletcher a 70% favorite over Ricky Palacios in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1658 vs 1657), separated by just 1 points.

Nathan Fletcher enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Nathan Fletcher finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Ricky Palacios 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.