Combat Edge Intelligence

Nathan Fletcher vs Zygimantas Ramaska

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-3-0Record9-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'11"
70"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Next Generation MMA LiverpoolTeamUkmerge Judo Club

What's at stake

Nathan Fletcher is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Zygimantas Ramaska carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Nathan FletcherNow 1654
If they win+14→ 1668
If they lose-18→ 1636
Zygimantas RamaskaNow 1602
If they win+18→ 1620
If they lose-14→ 1588

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1549 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.41
Sig. strikes / min
0.96
60%
Strike accuracy
60%
2.16
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.25
58%
Strike defense
30%
3.37
Takedown avg.
0
31%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
33%
0.67
Submission avg.
2.41

Trajectory

Nathan FletcherZygimantas Ramaska
15501600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
7 (64%)
Submission
4 (44%)
2 (18%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Nathan Fletcher71%
Zygimantas Ramaska 29%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Nathan Fletcher a 71% favorite over Zygimantas Ramaska in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Nathan Fletcher holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1654 to 1602, a 52-point edge.

Nathan Fletcher enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Nathan Fletcher finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Zygimantas Ramaska 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.