Nathan Haywood vs Šimon Bruknar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
4-3-0Record5-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'4"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
What's at stake
Šimon Bruknar is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Nathan Haywood carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+27→ 1550
If they lose-21→ 1502
If they win+21→ 1588
If they lose-27→ 1540
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1521 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nathan HaywoodŠimon Bruknar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Šimon Bruknar56%
Nathan Haywood 44%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Šimon Bruknar a 56% favorite over Nathan Haywood in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Šimon Bruknar holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1567 to 1523, a 44-point edge.
Nathan Haywood finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Šimon Bruknar 60%.
Nathan Haywood and Šimon Bruknar share 1 common opponent: Harun Kurt.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.