Nathan Haywood vs Šimon Bruknar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-4-0Record6-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'4"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
What's at stake
Šimon Bruknar is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +18 while a loss costs more — Nathan Haywood carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+30→ 1532
If they lose-18→ 1484
If they win+18→ 1606
If they lose-30→ 1558
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1527 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1530 · 8 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Nathan HaywoodŠimon Bruknar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Šimon Bruknar56%
Nathan Haywood 44%Elo baseline: 62%
The Combat Edge model makes Šimon Bruknar a 56% favorite over Nathan Haywood in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).
Šimon Bruknar holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1588 to 1502, a 86-point edge.
Nathan Haywood enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Nathan Haywood finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Šimon Bruknar 50%.
Nathan Haywood and Šimon Bruknar share 1 common opponent: Harun Kurt.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.