Combat Edge Intelligence

Nathaniel Wood vs Shane Burgos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

23-6-0Record16-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'6"Height5'11"
69"Reach75"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Great Britain Top TeamTeamTeam Tiger Schulmann

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nathaniel WoodNow 1733
If they win+12→ 1745
If they lose-12→ 1721
Shane BurgosNow 1733
If they win+16→ 1749
If they lose-16→ 1717

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1676 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1703 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.74
Sig. strikes / min
7.40
52%
Strike accuracy
52%
4.32
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
6.78
54%
Strike defense
56%
1.46
Takedown avg.
0.43
50%
Takedown accuracy
44%
73%
Takedown defense
92%
0.52
Submission avg.
0.43

Trajectory

Nathaniel WoodShane Burgos
1700175020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (35%)
KO/TKO
5 (31%)
5 (22%)
Submission
5 (31%)
10 (43%)
Decision
6 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Nathaniel Wood63%
Shane Burgos 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nathaniel Wood a 63% favorite over Shane Burgos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1733 vs 1733), separated by just 0 points.

Nathaniel Wood enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Nathaniel Wood finishes 57% of wins inside the distance, Shane Burgos 63%.

Nathaniel Wood and Shane Burgos share 1 common opponent: Charles Jourdain.

Shane Burgos carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.

Common opponents (1)

WinDecision (unanimous) · 2022
Charles Jourdain
WinDecision - Majority · 2022