Natália Silva vs Victoria Leonardo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
21-5-1Record10-7-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'5"
65"Reach64"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
What's at stake
Natália Silva is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Victoria Leonardo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+8→ 1768
If they lose-24→ 1736
If they win+24→ 1584
If they lose-8→ 1552
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1647 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1567 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Natália SilvaVictoria Leonardo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Natália Silva96%
Victoria Leonardo 4%Elo baseline: 76%
The Combat Edge model makes Natália Silva a 96% favorite over Victoria Leonardo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (76%).
Natália Silva holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1760 to 1560, a 200-point edge.
Natália Silva enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Natália Silva finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Victoria Leonardo 60%.
Natália Silva and Victoria Leonardo share 1 common opponent: Cong Wang.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.