Combat Edge Intelligence

Navajo Stirling vs Reinier de Ridder

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-0-0Record22-4-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
79"Reach 78"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
City KickboxingTeamCombat Brothers

What's at stake

Reinier de Ridder is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Navajo Stirling carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Navajo StirlingNow 1754
If they win+17→ 1771
If they lose-15→ 1739
Reinier de RidderNow 1770
If they win+15→ 1785
If they lose-17→ 1753

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1585 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1722 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

6.24
Sig. strikes / min
2.47
54%
Strike accuracy
49%
2.62
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.36
58%
Strike defense
47%
0.86
Takedown avg.
2.56
0%
Takedown accuracy
10%
71%
Takedown defense
40%
0
Submission avg.
0.55

Trajectory

Navajo StirlingReinier de Ridder
160017001800202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (64%)
KO/TKO
6 (27%)
0 (0%)
Submission
13 (59%)
4 (36%)
Decision
3 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Navajo Stirling61%
Reinier de Ridder 39%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Navajo Stirling a 61% favorite over Reinier de Ridder in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Reinier de Ridder's way (48%).

Reinier de Ridder holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1770 to 1754, a 16-point edge.

Navajo Stirling enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Navajo Stirling finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Reinier de Ridder 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.