Navajo Stirling vs Tuco Tokkos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-0-0Record11-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
79"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
City KickboxingTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Navajo Stirling is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Tuco Tokkos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1744
If they lose-22→ 1712
If they win+22→ 1614
If they lose-10→ 1582
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Navajo StirlingTuco Tokkos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Navajo Stirling92%
Tuco Tokkos 8%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Navajo Stirling a 92% favorite over Tuco Tokkos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Navajo Stirling holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1734 to 1592, a 142-point edge.
Navajo Stirling enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Navajo Stirling finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Tuco Tokkos 82%.
Navajo Stirling and Tuco Tokkos share 1 common opponent: Ivan Erslan.
Navajo Stirling carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.