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Combat Edge Intelligence

Neemias Santana vs Robert Valentin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

8-3-1Record12-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
76"Reach 77"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Team Lucas Mineiro· 1646 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamFight Move Academy· 1617 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Neemias SantanaNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591
Robert ValentinNow 1609
If they win+16→ 1625
If they lose-16→ 1593

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1491 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
1.30
Not available
Strike accuracy
56%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.72
Not available
Strike defense
33%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0.59
Not available
Takedown accuracy
50%
Not available
Takedown defense
55%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.78

Trajectory

Neemias SantanaRobert Valentin
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (88%)
KO/TKO
3 (25%)
1 (13%)
Submission
8 (67%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Robert Valentin66%
Neemias Santana 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Robert Valentin a 66% favorite over Neemias Santana in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1609), separated by just 2 points.

Robert Valentin enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Neemias Santana finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Robert Valentin 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.