Combat Edge Intelligence

Nic Ouellet vs Thomas Paull

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Thomas Paull
gb-eng

Thomas Paull

“Juggernaut”

12-5-0FeatherweightCWFC

1569Solid

Tale of the tape

7-4-0Record12-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
TBDHeight5'7"
-ReachTBD
146 lbsWeight146 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nic OuelletNow 1568
If they win+16→ 1584
If they lose-16→ 1552
Thomas PaullNow 1569
If they win+16→ 1585
If they lose-16→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1557 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1510 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
7.33
TBD
Strike accuracy
33%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
8.67
TBD
Strike defense
65%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Nic OuelletThomas Paull
1500155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
11 (92%)
5 (71%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (29%)
Decision
1 (8%)

Combat Edge model read

Nic Ouellet72%
Thomas Paull 28%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Nic Ouellet a 72% favorite over Thomas Paull in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Thomas Paull's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1568 vs 1569), separated by just 1 points.

Nic Ouellet enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Nic Ouellet finishes 71% of wins inside the distance, Thomas Paull 92%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.