Combat Edge Intelligence

Nicholas Musoke vs Trevin Giles

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Trevin Giles
us

Trevin Giles

“The Problem”

16-7-0WelterweightUFC

1662Good

Tale of the tape

16-5-0Record16-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
75,0"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Allstars Training CenterTeamW4R Training Center

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nicholas MusokeNow 1661
If they win+16→ 1677
If they lose-16→ 1645
Trevin GilesNow 1662
If they win+16→ 1678
If they lose-16→ 1646

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1580 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.56
Sig. strikes / min
3.17
36%
Strike accuracy
54%
3.80
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.39
58%
Strike defense
58%
1.16
Takedown avg.
1.07
19%
Takedown accuracy
50%
82%
Takedown defense
72%
0.19
Submission avg.
0.29

Trajectory

Nicholas MusokeTrevin Giles
165017002018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

4 (25%)
KO/TKO
6 (38%)
5 (31%)
Submission
5 (31%)
7 (44%)
Decision
5 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Nicholas Musoke and Trevin Giles within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1661 vs 1662), separated by just 1 points.

Nicholas Musoke enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Trevin Giles enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Nicholas Musoke finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Trevin Giles 69%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.