Nick Galanti vs Vicente Luque
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Vicente Luque63%
Nick Galanti 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Vicente Luque a 63% favorite over Nick Galanti in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nick Galanti's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1709 vs 1708), separated by just 1 points.
Nick Galanti enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Nick Galanti finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Vicente Luque 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
9-1-0Record24-13-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
75"Reach75″
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Dante Rivera BJJ· 1673 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1725
If they lose-16→ 1693
If they win+12→ 1720
If they lose-12→ 1696
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1715 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Nick GalantiVicente Luque