Combat Edge Intelligence

Nick Maximov vs Punahele Soriano

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-2-0Record13-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
76"Reach 72"
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Nick Diaz AcademyTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

Punahele Soriano is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Nick Maximov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Nick MaximovNow 1676
If they win+18→ 1694
If they lose-14→ 1662
Punahele SorianoNow 1711
If they win+14→ 1725
If they lose-18→ 1693

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.93
Sig. strikes / min
4.66
45%
Strike accuracy
55%
2.64
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.42
46%
Strike defense
48%
4.16
Takedown avg.
1.83
46%
Takedown accuracy
48%
36%
Takedown defense
40%
0.24
Submission avg.
0.14

Trajectory

Nick MaximovPunahele Soriano
165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
7 (54%)
4 (40%)
Submission
2 (15%)
4 (40%)
Decision
4 (31%)

Combat Edge model read

Punahele Soriano63%
Nick Maximov 37%Elo baseline: 55%

The Combat Edge model makes Punahele Soriano a 63% favorite over Nick Maximov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).

Punahele Soriano holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1711 to 1676, a 35-point edge.

Nick Maximov enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Punahele Soriano enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Nick Maximov finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Punahele Soriano 69%.

Nick Maximov carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.