Combat Edge Intelligence

Nick Urso vs Stewart Nicoll

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record8-4-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
TBDReach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Jackson's MMA AcomaTeamBroz Martial Arts

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nick UrsoNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
Stewart NicollNow 1591
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.61
Sig. strikes / min
3.63
45%
Strike accuracy
39%
5.06
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.84
36%
Strike defense
50%
0
Takedown avg.
1.63
0%
Takedown accuracy
4%
0%
Takedown defense
29%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Nick UrsoStewart Nicoll
1600165020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (20%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
3 (30%)
Submission
3 (38%)
5 (50%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Stewart Nicoll62%
Nick Urso 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Stewart Nicoll a 62% favorite over Nick Urso in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1591), separated by just 2 points.

Stewart Nicoll enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

Nick Urso finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Stewart Nicoll 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.