Nicolas Dalby vs Zhakshylyk Myrzabekov
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Zhakshylyk Myrzabekov53%
Nicolas Dalby 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Zhakshylyk Myrzabekov a 53% favorite over Nicolas Dalby in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Nicolas Dalby's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1730 vs 1730), separated by just 0 points.
Zhakshylyk Myrzabekov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Nicolas Dalby finishes 46% of wins inside the distance, Zhakshylyk Myrzabekov 53%.
Nicolas Dalby carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
24-6-1Record15-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
74"Reach70"
171 lbsWeight171 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1742
If they lose-12→ 1718
If they win+16→ 1746
If they lose-16→ 1714
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1727 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Nicolas DalbyZhakshylyk Myrzabekov