Combat Edge Intelligence

Nikolas Motta vs Shaqueme Rock

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record11-3-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'8"Height6'0"
70"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight161 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamMonarchy MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nikolas MottaNow 1642
If they win+16→ 1658
If they lose-16→ 1626
Shaqueme RockNow 1643
If they win+16→ 1659
If they lose-16→ 1627

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1599 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.64
Sig. strikes / min
2.93
37%
Strike accuracy
42%
4.50
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.40
56%
Strike defense
56%
0
Takedown avg.
1
TBD
Takedown accuracy
11%
82%
Takedown defense
80%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Nikolas MottaShaqueme Rock
16502023202420252026

Win method breakdown

10 (67%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
0 (0%)
Submission
8 (73%)
5 (33%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Shaqueme Rock60%
Nikolas Motta 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Shaqueme Rock a 60% favorite over Nikolas Motta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1642 vs 1643), separated by just 1 points.

Shaqueme Rock enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Nikolas Motta finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Shaqueme Rock 91%.

Shaqueme Rock carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.