Nina Nunes vs Randa Markos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-7-0Record11-11-1
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'5"
64"ReachTBD
126 lbsWeight115 lbs
Lioness StudioTeamMichigan Top Team
What's at stake
Nina Nunes is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Randa Markos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1604
If they lose-17→ 1572
If they win+17→ 1574
If they lose-15→ 1542
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1599 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1634 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nina NunesRanda Markos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nina Nunes64%
Randa Markos 36%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Nina Nunes a 64% favorite over Randa Markos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Nina Nunes holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1589 to 1557, a 32-point edge.
Nina Nunes finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Randa Markos 36%.
Nina Nunes and Randa Markos share 3 common opponents: Mackenzie Dern, Claudia Gadelha and Angela Hill.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.