Nina Nunes vs Tatiana Suarez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-7-0Record12-1-0
FlyweightDivisionStrawweight
5'5"Height5'5"
64"Reach66"
126 lbsWeight115 lbs
Lioness StudioTeamMillennia MMA
What's at stake
Tatiana Suarez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Nina Nunes carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+23→ 1612
If they lose-9→ 1580
If they win+9→ 1769
If they lose-23→ 1737
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1599 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1652 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Nina NunesTatiana Suarez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tatiana Suarez88%
Nina Nunes 12%Elo baseline: 73%
The Combat Edge model makes Tatiana Suarez a 88% favorite over Nina Nunes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).
Tatiana Suarez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1760 to 1589, a 171-point edge.
Tatiana Suarez enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Nina Nunes finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Tatiana Suarez 67%.
Tatiana Suarez carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.