Combat Edge Intelligence

Nina Nunes vs Veronica Hardy

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Nina Nunes
us

Nina Nunes

“The Strina”

11-7-0FlyweightUFC

1589Solid

Tale of the tape

11-7-0Record10-5-1
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'3"
64"Reach64"
126 lbsWeight125 lbs
Lioness StudioTeamMMA Factory

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nina NunesNow 1589
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
Veronica HardyNow 1591
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1599 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1597 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.39
Sig. strikes / min
3.06
45%
Strike accuracy
46%
3.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.24
56%
Strike defense
50%
0.24
Takedown avg.
0.82
33%
Takedown accuracy
6%
74%
Takedown defense
52%
0.49
Submission avg.
0.35

Trajectory

Nina NunesVeronica Hardy
155016002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (36%)
KO/TKO
1 (10%)
2 (18%)
Submission
2 (20%)
5 (45%)
Decision
7 (70%)

Combat Edge model read

Veronica Hardy66%
Nina Nunes 34%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Veronica Hardy a 66% favorite over Nina Nunes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1589 vs 1591), separated by just 2 points.

Nina Nunes finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Veronica Hardy 30%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.