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Combat Edge Intelligence

Nora Cornolle vs Tonya Evinger

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-4-0Record19-8-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
67"Reach39,0"
139 lbsWeight135 lbs
Team CornolleTeamW4R Training Center· 1597 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Nora CornolleNow 1647
If they win+16→ 1663
If they lose-16→ 1631
Tonya EvingerNow 1656
If they win+12→ 1668
If they lose-12→ 1644

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.73
Sig. strikes / min
1.16
55%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.04
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.02
56%
Strike defense
39%
0.22
Takedown avg.
0.93
0%
Takedown accuracy
30%
48%
Takedown defense
33%
0.22
Submission avg.
0.93

Trajectory

Nora CornolleTonya Evinger
16501700201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (60%)
KO/TKO
8 (42%)
2 (20%)
Submission
7 (37%)
2 (20%)
Decision
4 (21%)

Combat Edge model read

Nora Cornolle57%
Tonya Evinger 43%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Nora Cornolle a 57% favorite over Tonya Evinger in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tonya Evinger's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1647 vs 1656), separated by just 9 points.

Tonya Evinger enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Nora Cornolle finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Tonya Evinger 79%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.