Norbert Novenyi Jr. vs Theo Haig
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-1-0Record7-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
75"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
London ShootfightersTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1630 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
Norbert Novenyi Jr. is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Theo Haig carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1731
If they lose-21→ 1699
If they win+31→ 1648
If they lose-17→ 1600
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1539 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Norbert Novenyi Jr.Theo Haig
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Norbert Novenyi Jr.76%
Theo Haig 24%Elo baseline: 64%
The Combat Edge model makes Norbert Novenyi Jr. a 76% favorite over Theo Haig in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (64%).
Norbert Novenyi Jr. holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1720 to 1617, a 103-point edge.
Norbert Novenyi Jr. enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Norbert Novenyi Jr. finishes 82% of wins inside the distance, Theo Haig 100%.
Theo Haig carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.