CONTENDER SERIES 2026 : WEEK 7

Norbert Novenyi Jr. vs Theo Haig

DateSep 22, 2026
DivisionMiddleweight
StatusScheduled
VenueMeta APEX
BroadcastPARAMOUNT+
Start times & how to watch
Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Tuesday, September 22, 2026 — watch on PARAMOUNT+.

US East (ET)
Tue 7:00 PM
US West (PT)
Tue 4:00 PM
United Kingdom
Wed 12:00 AM
Central Europe
Wed 1:00 AM
Australia (Sydney)
Wed 9:00 AM
Norbert Novenyi Jr.Magic |10-1-0Norbert Novenyi Jr. vs Theo HaigTheo Haig7-1-0
huNorbert Novenyi Jr.Magic10-1-0Norbert Novenyi Jr.
Elo1691Good
3Y trend1669 → 1691
2023-06-16: 16692024-06-22: 16482025-04-12: 16652025-11-07: 16812026-03-26: 1691
hu

Fight Overview

Round3
Time5:00
10-1-0Record7-1-0
26Age30
5'11"Height6'2"
75"Reach77.5"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
MiddleweightWeight ClassMiddleweight
usTheo Haig7-1-0usTheo Haig
Elo1633Solid
3Y trend1555 → 1633
2023-03-10: 15552023-08-26: 15792024-09-13: 16102024-11-09: 16192025-01-10: 16382025-09-02: 16152026-02-27: 1633
Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Norbert Novenyi Jr. owns a 58-point Elo edge (good). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Norbert Novenyi Jr. and Theo Haig across their careers →

Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Norbert Novenyi Jr.Theo Haig
1550160016501700202420252026

Recent form

Norbert Novenyi Jr.W W W L W · +50 Elo last 5
WWWLW
Theo HaigW L W W W · +52 Elo last 5
WLWWW

Elo edge

Norbert Novenyi Jr.1691+10 last move
Theo Haig1633+18 last move
Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28
68%Norbert Novenyi Jr.32%Theo Haig
Model favoriteNorbert Novenyi Jr.
Elo baseline58% for Norbert Novenyi Jr.
Matchup adjustment+10 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Norbert Novenyi Jr.Stake

Sponsored — betting partner link. 19+ (18+ where permitted). Please play responsibly.

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Norbert Novenyi Jr. leads the full model at 68%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 10 points.

Current Elo ratings1691 · 1633Norbert Novenyi Jr. leads by 58 rating points.
Recent opponent quality1535 · 1512Norbert Novenyi Jr. faced the stronger recent schedule (10 vs 8 sampled fights).
Elo record depth11 · 8 fightsNorbert Novenyi Jr. has the deeper counted Elo history.
Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Norbert Novenyi Jr.vsTheo Haig

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Norbert Novenyi Jr.submission leads 50% of wins
Theo Haigsubmission leads 100% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Norbert Novenyi Jr.Theo Haig

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available
UFC middleweight average : 3.76
Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available
UFC middleweight average : 48%
Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available
UFC middleweight average : 3.80
Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available
UFC middleweight average : 52%
Not availableTakedown averageNot available
UFC middleweight average : 1.70
Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available
UFC middleweight average : 32%
Not availableTakedown defenseNot available
UFC middleweight average : 58%
Not availableSubmission averageNot available
UFC middleweight average : 0.63
4Wins by knockout0
5Wins by submission7
1Wins by decision0
0Losses by knockout1
0Losses by submission0
1Losses by decision0

Norbert Novenyi Jr. vs Theo Haig is a scheduled Middleweight fight on CONTENDER SERIES 2026 : WEEK 7. Norbert Novenyi Jr. enters with a 10-1-0 record and Theo Haig enters with a 7-1-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.

Norbert Novenyi Jr. vs Theo Haig quick answers

When is Norbert Novenyi Jr. vs Theo Haig?

Norbert Novenyi Jr. vs Theo Haig is listed for CONTENDER SERIES 2026 : WEEK 7 on Sep 22, 2026 at 7:00 PM EST.

What event is Norbert Novenyi Jr. vs Theo Haig on?

Norbert Novenyi Jr. vs Theo Haig is listed on CONTENDER SERIES 2026 : WEEK 7.

What are the records for Norbert Novenyi Jr. vs Theo Haig?

Norbert Novenyi Jr. enters with a 10-1-0 record and Theo Haig enters with a 7-1-0 record.

What division is Norbert Novenyi Jr. vs Theo Haig?

Norbert Novenyi Jr. vs Theo Haig is listed as a Middleweight fight.

Full fight card

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