Norma Dumont vs Raquel Pennington
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-3-0Record16-9-0
BantamweightDivisionWomen's Bantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
67"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
What's at stake
Norma Dumont is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Raquel Pennington carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1707
If they lose-17→ 1675
If they win+17→ 1692
If they lose-15→ 1660
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1647 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1642 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Norma DumontRaquel Pennington
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Norma Dumont70%
Raquel Pennington 30%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Norma Dumont a 70% favorite over Raquel Pennington in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Norma Dumont holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1692 to 1675, a 17-point edge.
Norma Dumont finishes 15% of wins inside the distance, Raquel Pennington 31%.
Norma Dumont and Raquel Pennington share 5 common opponents: Ketlen Vieira, Irene Aldana, Germaine de Randamie and Macy Chiasson, among 5 in total.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.