Nurullo Aliev vs Rafael Alves
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
12-0-0Record21-12-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'7"
72"Reach68"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
Nurullo Aliev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Rafael Alves carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1745
If they lose-21→ 1713
If they win+21→ 1634
If they lose-11→ 1602
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1584 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1615 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Nurullo AlievRafael Alves
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nurullo Aliev80%
Rafael Alves 20%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Nurullo Aliev a 80% favorite over Rafael Alves in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Nurullo Aliev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1734 to 1613, a 121-point edge.
Nurullo Aliev enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Rafael Alves enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Nurullo Aliev finishes 17% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Alves 76%.
Nurullo Aliev carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.