Combat Edge Intelligence

Nurullo Aliev vs Shaqueme Rock

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-0-0Record11-3-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
72"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight161 lbs
Kaizen MMATeamMonarchy MMA

What's at stake

Nurullo Aliev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +12 while a loss costs more — Shaqueme Rock carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Nurullo AlievNow 1733
If they win+12→ 1745
If they lose-20→ 1713
Shaqueme RockNow 1641
If they win+20→ 1661
If they lose-12→ 1629

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1581 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1529 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.29
Sig. strikes / min
2.93
44%
Strike accuracy
42%
1.59
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.40
55%
Strike defense
56%
3.48
Takedown avg.
1
10%
Takedown accuracy
11%
80%
Takedown defense
80%
0.46
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Nurullo AlievShaqueme Rock
165017001750202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (17%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
0 (0%)
Submission
8 (73%)
10 (83%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Nurullo Aliev83%
Shaqueme Rock 17%Elo baseline: 63%

The Combat Edge model makes Nurullo Aliev a 83% favorite over Shaqueme Rock in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).

Nurullo Aliev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1733 to 1641, a 92-point edge.

Nurullo Aliev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Shaqueme Rock enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Nurullo Aliev finishes 17% of wins inside the distance, Shaqueme Rock 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.