Combat Edge Intelligence

Nurullo Aliev vs Shaqueme Rock

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-0-0Record11-3-1
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
72"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight161 lbs
Kaizen MMATeamMonarchy MMA

What's at stake

Nurullo Aliev is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Shaqueme Rock carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Nurullo AlievNow 1715
If they win+13→ 1728
If they lose-19→ 1696
Shaqueme RockNow 1643
If they win+19→ 1662
If they lose-13→ 1630

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1553 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1534 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.72
Sig. strikes / min
2.93
45%
Strike accuracy
42%
1.63
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.40
58%
Strike defense
56%
2.12
Takedown avg.
1
19%
Takedown accuracy
11%
80%
Takedown defense
80%
0.30
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Nurullo AlievShaqueme Rock
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
2 (18%)
0 (0%)
Submission
8 (73%)
9 (82%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

Nurullo Aliev71%
Shaqueme Rock 29%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Nurullo Aliev a 71% favorite over Shaqueme Rock in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Nurullo Aliev holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1715 to 1643, a 72-point edge.

Nurullo Aliev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Shaqueme Rock enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Nurullo Aliev finishes 18% of wins inside the distance, Shaqueme Rock 91%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.