Combat Edge Intelligence

Oban Elliott vs Preston Parsons

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Oban Elliott
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Oban Elliott

“The Welsh Gangster”

12-5-0WelterweightUFC

1634Solid

Tale of the tape

12-5-0Record11-6-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
72"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Shore MMATeamElevate MMA

What's at stake

Oban Elliott is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Preston Parsons carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Oban ElliottNow 1634
If they win+15→ 1649
If they lose-17→ 1617
Preston ParsonsNow 1610
If they win+17→ 1627
If they lose-15→ 1595

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1601 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.62
Sig. strikes / min
3.50
48%
Strike accuracy
52%
2.24
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.12
61%
Strike defense
55%
1.52
Takedown avg.
3.53
15%
Takedown accuracy
37%
52%
Takedown defense
71%
0
Submission avg.
2.35

Trajectory

Oban ElliottPreston Parsons
1600165017002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
3 (25%)
Submission
9 (82%)
6 (50%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Oban Elliott60%
Preston Parsons 40%Elo baseline: 53%

The Combat Edge model makes Oban Elliott a 60% favorite over Preston Parsons in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (53%).

Oban Elliott holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1634 to 1610, a 24-point edge.

Oban Elliott enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Preston Parsons enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Oban Elliott finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Preston Parsons 82%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.