Oleg Popov vs Phil De Fries
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
23-2-0Record29-6-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'1"Height6'4"
75.5"Reach79"
250 lbsWeight264 lbs
FedorTeam· 1771 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAlliance MMA· 1649 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1814
If they lose-12→ 1790
If they win+12→ 1800
If they lose-12→ 1776
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1642 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1628 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Oleg PopovPhil De Fries
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Oleg Popov60%
Phil De Fries 40%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Oleg Popov a 60% favorite over Phil De Fries in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1802 vs 1788), separated by just 14 points.
Oleg Popov enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Phil De Fries enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Oleg Popov finishes 52% of wins inside the distance, Phil De Fries 83%.
Phil De Fries carries a 4-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.