Omar El Dafrawy vs Patrick Habirora
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-6-0Record9-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
74"Reach75"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Soma Fight Club· 1606 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamRed Kings
What's at stake
Patrick Habirora is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Omar El Dafrawy carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+19→ 1678
If they lose-13→ 1646
If they win+19→ 1744
If they lose-29→ 1696
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1560 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Omar El DafrawyPatrick Habirora
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patrick Habirora75%
Omar El Dafrawy 25%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Habirora a 75% favorite over Omar El Dafrawy in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Patrick Habirora holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1725 to 1659, a 66-point edge.
Omar El Dafrawy enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Patrick Habirora enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Omar El Dafrawy finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Habirora 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.