Omar Morales vs Tracy Reeder
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record12-6-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
73"Reach73.5"
155 lbsWeight160 lbs
The Goat Shed Academy· 1671 avg Elo · 8 ratedTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572
If they win+16→ 1605
If they lose-16→ 1573
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1627 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Omar MoralesTracy Reeder
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Omar Morales and Tracy Reeder within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1588 vs 1589), separated by just 1 points.
Omar Morales enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Omar Morales finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Tracy Reeder 92%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.