Omar Morales vs Uros Medic
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-4-0Record13-3-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height6'1"
73"Reach71"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
The Goat Shed AcademyTeamKings MMA
What's at stake
Uros Medic is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Omar Morales carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1609
If they lose-11→ 1577
If they win+11→ 1719
If they lose-21→ 1687
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1626 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1661 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Omar MoralesUros Medic
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Uros Medic84%
Omar Morales 16%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Uros Medic a 84% favorite over Omar Morales in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Uros Medic holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1708 to 1588, a 120-point edge.
Omar Morales enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Uros Medic enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Omar Morales finishes 64% of wins inside the distance, Uros Medic 100%.
Omar Morales carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.