Osimkhon Rakhmonov vs Tomáš Deák
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Tomáš Deák53%
Osimkhon Rakhmonov 47%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Tomáš Deák a 53% favorite over Osimkhon Rakhmonov in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Osimkhon Rakhmonov's way (46%).
Osimkhon Rakhmonov holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1620 to 1589, a 31-point edge.
Osimkhon Rakhmonov finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Tomáš Deák 68%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
17-5-0Record25-15-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'4"
65.4"Reach65.7"
137 lbsWeight137 lbs
TeamOctagon Fighting Academy· 1574 avg Elo · 8 rated
What's at stake
Osimkhon Rakhmonov is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Tomáš Deák carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1635
If they lose-17→ 1603
If they win+13→ 1602
If they lose-11→ 1578
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1590 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Osimkhon RakhmonovTomáš Deák