Combat Edge Intelligence

Otari Tanzilovi vs Shane Collins

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

10-2-0Record8-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'10"
70"Reach71"
138 lbsWeight145 lbs
Guram Fight ClubTeamTBD

What's at stake

Shane Collins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Otari Tanzilovi carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Otari TanziloviNow 1623
If they win+18→ 1641
If they lose-14→ 1609
Shane CollinsNow 1673
If they win+21→ 1694
If they lose-27→ 1646

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1529 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1515 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.53
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
72%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.33
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
56%
Strike defense
TBD
4
Takedown avg.
TBD
25%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
0%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Otari TanziloviShane Collins
15501600165020252026

Win method breakdown

7 (70%)
KO/TKO
4 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (13%)
3 (30%)
Decision
3 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Shane Collins61%
Otari Tanzilovi 39%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Shane Collins a 61% favorite over Otari Tanzilovi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Shane Collins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1673 to 1623, a 50-point edge.

Shane Collins enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Otari Tanzilovi finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Shane Collins 63%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.