Oumar Sy vs Tuco Tokkos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-2-0Record11-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'4"Height6'4"
83"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Bulgarian Top TeamTeamKill Cliff FC
What's at stake
Oumar Sy is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Tuco Tokkos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1708
If they lose-21→ 1676
If they win+21→ 1613
If they lose-11→ 1581
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Oumar SyTuco Tokkos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Oumar Sy76%
Tuco Tokkos 24%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Oumar Sy a 76% favorite over Tuco Tokkos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Oumar Sy holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1697 to 1592, a 105-point edge.
Oumar Sy finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Tuco Tokkos 82%.
Oumar Sy carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.