Ozzy Diaz vs Theo Haig
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
10-5-0Record7-2-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'2"
79"Reach77"
185 lbsWeight186 lbs
California Mixed Martial Arts· 1674 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamAmerican Kickboxing Academy· 1637 avg Elo · 6 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
If they win+24→ 1637
If they lose-24→ 1589
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1533 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Ozzy DiazTheo Haig
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ozzy Diaz54%
Theo Haig 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ozzy Diaz a 54% favorite over Theo Haig in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Theo Haig's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1613), separated by just 1 points.
Ozzy Diaz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ozzy Diaz finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Theo Haig 100%.
Ozzy Diaz carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.