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Combat Edge Intelligence

Ozzy Diaz vs Tomasz Drwal

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ozzy Diaz
us

Ozzy Diaz

“Ozzy”

10-5-0MiddleweightUFC

1612Solid

Tale of the tape

10-5-0Record22-6-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'4"Height6'1"
79"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
California Mixed Martial Arts· 1674 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamSzkola Walki Drwala

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Ozzy DiazNow 1612
If they win+16→ 1628
If they lose-16→ 1596
Tomasz DrwalNow 1612
If they win+12→ 1624
If they lose-12→ 1600

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1597 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1574 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

5.33
Sig. strikes / min
3.29
49%
Strike accuracy
38%
6.52
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.26
61%
Strike defense
57%
0
Takedown avg.
3.55
0%
Takedown accuracy
60%
50%
Takedown defense
82%
0
Submission avg.
0.39

Trajectory

Ozzy DiazTomasz Drwal
16001650202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (70%)
KO/TKO
14 (64%)
2 (20%)
Submission
5 (23%)
1 (10%)
Decision
3 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Ozzy Diaz55%
Tomasz Drwal 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Ozzy Diaz a 55% favorite over Tomasz Drwal in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1612), separated by just 0 points.

Ozzy Diaz enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Ozzy Diaz finishes 90% of wins inside the distance, Tomasz Drwal 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.