Combat Edge Intelligence

Patricio Pitbull vs Timur Khizriev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

37-9-0Record16-0-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'8"
65"Reach68.5"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Pitbull Brothers· 1624 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamDagFighter· 1713 avg Elo · 5 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Patricio PitbullNow 1783
If they win+12→ 1795
If they lose-12→ 1771
Timur KhizrievNow 1778
If they win+16→ 1794
If they lose-16→ 1762

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1695 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.68
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
44%
Strike accuracy
TBD
4.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
58%
Strike defense
TBD
1.49
Takedown avg.
TBD
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
89%
Takedown defense
TBD
0.56
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Patricio PitbullTimur Khizriev
1700175018002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (32%)
KO/TKO
3 (19%)
12 (32%)
Submission
1 (6%)
13 (35%)
Decision
12 (75%)

Combat Edge model read

Timur Khizriev63%
Patricio Pitbull 37%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Timur Khizriev a 63% favorite over Patricio Pitbull in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Patricio Pitbull's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1783 vs 1778), separated by just 5 points.

Timur Khizriev enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Patricio Pitbull finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Timur Khizriev 25%.

Timur Khizriev carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.