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Combat Edge Intelligence

Patricio Pitbull vs Yair Rodriguez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

38-9-0Record20-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'11"
65"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Pitbull Brothers· 1626 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamValle Flow Striking· 1678 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

Patricio Pitbull is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Yair Rodriguez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Patricio PitbullNow 1802
If they win+10→ 1812
If they lose-14→ 1788
Yair RodriguezNow 1751
If they win+18→ 1769
If they lose-14→ 1737

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1711 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1736 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

2.68
Sig. strikes / min
4.65
44%
Strike accuracy
47%
4.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.78
58%
Strike defense
53%
1.49
Takedown avg.
0.71
33%
Takedown accuracy
24%
89%
Takedown defense
59%
0.56
Submission avg.
0.64

Trajectory

Patricio PitbullYair Rodriguez
175018002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

13 (34%)
KO/TKO
8 (40%)
12 (32%)
Submission
5 (25%)
13 (34%)
Decision
7 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Patricio Pitbull58%
Yair Rodriguez 42%Elo baseline: 57%

The Combat Edge model makes Patricio Pitbull a 58% favorite over Yair Rodriguez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (57%).

Patricio Pitbull holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1802 to 1751, a 51-point edge.

Patricio Pitbull finishes 66% of wins inside the distance, Yair Rodriguez 65%.

Yair Rodriguez carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.