Combat Edge Intelligence

Patricio Pitbull vs Yair Rodriguez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

37-9-0Record20-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'6"Height5'11"
65"Reach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Pitbull BrothersTeamValle Flow Striking

What's at stake

Patricio Pitbull is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Yair Rodriguez carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Patricio PitbullNow 1774
If they win+11→ 1785
If they lose-13→ 1761
Yair RodriguezNow 1751
If they win+17→ 1768
If they lose-15→ 1736

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1697 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1735 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.68
Sig. strikes / min
4.65
44%
Strike accuracy
46%
4.23
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.99
58%
Strike defense
52%
1.49
Takedown avg.
0.69
33%
Takedown accuracy
27%
89%
Takedown defense
58%
0.56
Submission avg.
0.69

Trajectory

Patricio PitbullYair Rodriguez
175018002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (32%)
KO/TKO
8 (40%)
12 (32%)
Submission
5 (25%)
13 (35%)
Decision
7 (35%)

Combat Edge model read

Yair Rodriguez55%
Patricio Pitbull 45%Elo baseline: 47%

The Combat Edge model makes Yair Rodriguez a 55% favorite over Patricio Pitbull in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Patricio Pitbull's way (47%).

Patricio Pitbull holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1774 to 1751, a 23-point edge.

Patricio Pitbull finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Yair Rodriguez 65%.

Yair Rodriguez carries a 6-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.