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Combat Edge Intelligence

Paul Capaldo vs Sebastian Ruiz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Official bout pages

New comparison

This page compares both fighters across their careers. Event-specific previews, results, round stats, and bout facts live on the separate official Fight page for each meeting.

Paul Capaldo
us

Paul Capaldo

“Paulie C”

8-1-0FeatherweightCFFC

1616Solid

Tale of the tape

8-1-0Record7-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'9"
TBDReachTBD
145 lbsWeight135 lbs
Nick Catone MMA & FitnessTeamMaretazo Muay Thai

What's at stake

Paul Capaldo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +19 while a loss costs more — Sebastian Ruiz carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Paul CapaldoNow 1616
If they win+19→ 1635
If they lose-29→ 1587
Sebastian RuizNow 1549
If they win+19→ 1568
If they lose-13→ 1536

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1497 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
Not available
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Strike accuracy
Not available
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
Not available
Not available
Strike defense
Not available
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Takedown avg.
Not available
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
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Takedown defense
Not available
Not available
Submission avg.
Not available

Trajectory

Paul CapaldoSebastian Ruiz
150015501600202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (43%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (57%)
Decision
3 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Paul Capaldo54%
Sebastian Ruiz 46%Elo baseline: 60%

The Combat Edge model makes Paul Capaldo a 54% favorite over Sebastian Ruiz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).

Paul Capaldo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1616 to 1549, a 67-point edge.

Paul Capaldo finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Sebastian Ruiz 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.