Paul Capaldo vs Sebastian Ruiz

DateOct 23, 2026

DivisionBantamweight

StatusScheduled

VenuePremier Theater at Foxwoods Resort Casino

BroadcastVICE TV

Start times & how to watch

Start time & how to watch

Main card starts Friday, October 23, 2026 — watch on VICE TV.

US East (ET): Fri 9:00 PM
US West (PT): Fri 6:00 PM
United Kingdom: Sat 2:00 AM
Central Europe: Sat 3:00 AM
Australia (Sydney): Sat 12:00 PM
Your time

Paul CapaldoPaulie C |8-1-0Paul Capaldo vs Sebastian RuizSebastian RuizEl Gallo |7-5-0

Paul CapaldoPaulie C8-1-0

Fight Overview

RoundTBD

TimeTBD

8-1-0Record7-5-0

29Age28

5'8"Height5'9"

TBDReachTBD

145 lbsWeight135 lbs

BantamweightWeight ClassBantamweight

Sebastian RuizEl Gallo7-5-0

Combat Edge Intelligence

Fight Intelligence

Paul Capaldo owns a 67-point Elo edge (solid). Tracked UFC stat edges are limited for this matchup. There are no clean shared-opponent matches in tracked pro MMA history.

Compare Paul Capaldo and Sebastian Ruiz across their careers →

Elo Recent career Elo trajectory

Recent three-year Elo paths for both fighters. Ratings shown here are current career context; the event-specific prediction or verified result remains on this Fight page.

Paul CapaldoSebastian Ruiz

Recent form

Paul CapaldoW L W W W · +47 Elo last 5

WLWWW

Sebastian RuizL W W W W · +62 Elo last 5

LWWWW

Elo edge

Paul Capaldo1616+15 last move

Sebastian Ruiz1549-23 last move

Fight intelligence

Model forecast and your pick

Inspect the model’s probability and Elo baseline, then make your own call before the card starts.

Combat Edge Model

Fight forecast

Frozen pre-fight · v0.7-2026-08-28

60%Paul Capaldo40%Sebastian Ruiz

Model favoritePaul Capaldo

Elo baseline60% for Paul Capaldo

Matchup adjustment0 pts vs Elo

Win probability computed before the fight from point-in-time Elo, records, and matchup data. The baseline shows what Elo alone expected; the adjustment is not a certainty. Analytics, not betting advice.

See all predictions →Back Paul CapaldoStake

Forecast context

What separates the fighters

Model + Elo agree

Paul Capaldo leads the full model at 60%. Elo agrees, and the complete matchup model strengthens that lean by 1 point.

Current Elo ratings1616 · 1549Paul Capaldo leads by 67 rating points.

Recent opponent quality1497 · 1497Equal pre-fight opponent Elo across 8 and 10 sampled fights.

Elo record depth8 · 12 fightsSebastian Ruiz has the deeper counted Elo history.

Largest tracked stat edgesNot enough comparable dataNo advantage is inferred when the underlying records are incomplete.

Stat advantages

Paul CapaldovsSebastian Ruiz

No tracked UFC stat edge yet.

Finishing profile

Paul Capaldodecision leads 50% of wins

Sebastian RuizKO/TKO leads 57% of wins

Common opponents

No clean shared-opponent match found in tracked pro MMA history.

Tale of the tape

Paul CapaldoSebastian Ruiz

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not availableSig. strikes landed per minNot available

UFC featherweight average : 3.96

Not availableSig. strike accuracyNot available

UFC featherweight average : 46%

Not availableSig. strikes absorbed per minNot available

UFC featherweight average : 3.86

Not availableSig. strike defenseNot available

UFC featherweight average : 54%

Not availableTakedown averageNot available

UFC featherweight average : 1.57

Not availableTakedown accuracyNot available

UFC featherweight average : 30%

Not availableTakedown defenseNot available

UFC featherweight average : 56%

Not availableSubmission averageNot available

UFC featherweight average : 0.63

3Wins by knockout4

0Wins by submission0

4Wins by decision3

0Losses by knockout0

0Losses by submission2

1Losses by decision3

Paul Capaldo vs Sebastian Ruiz is a scheduled Bantamweight fight on LFA 244 : WOODLEY VS HAVENER. Paul Capaldo enters with a 8-1-0 record and Sebastian Ruiz enters with a 7-5-0 record. Combat Edge tracks the matchup preview, UFC stats, Elo edge, shared opponents, event date, venue, and full fight card.