Paul Capaldo vs Trevor Peek
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-1-0Record9-4-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
TBDReach 70"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Nick Catone MMA & FitnessTeamAgoge Combatives· 1613 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1640
If they lose-24→ 1592
If they win+16→ 1632
If they lose-16→ 1600
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1497 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1595 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Paul CapaldoTrevor Peek
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Trevor Peek63%
Paul Capaldo 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Trevor Peek a 63% favorite over Paul Capaldo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Paul Capaldo's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1616 vs 1616), separated by just 0 points.
Trevor Peek enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Paul Capaldo finishes 43% of wins inside the distance, Trevor Peek 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.