Paul Elliott vs Shamil Erdogan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
8-2-0Record13-0-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'1"Height6'2"
76.4"Reach79"
246 lbsWeight205 lbs
What's at stake
Shamil Erdogan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Paul Elliott carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+33→ 1640
If they lose-15→ 1592
If they win+10→ 1748
If they lose-22→ 1716
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1494 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1528 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Paul ElliottShamil Erdogan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shamil Erdogan71%
Paul Elliott 29%Elo baseline: 68%
The Combat Edge model makes Shamil Erdogan a 71% favorite over Paul Elliott in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (68%).
Shamil Erdogan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1738 to 1607, a 131-point edge.
Paul Elliott enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Shamil Erdogan enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Paul Elliott finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Shamil Erdogan 69%.
Paul Elliott and Shamil Erdogan share 1 common opponent: Ryugo Takeuchi.
Shamil Erdogan carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (1)
WinTKO (Punches) · 2025
WinTKO (Punches) · 2025