Paul Jones vs Philipe Lins
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-1-1Record18-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'9"Height6'1"
TBDReach78"
198 lbsWeight205 lbs
TeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1695
If they lose-16→ 1663
If they win+16→ 1699
If they lose-16→ 1667
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1665 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Paul JonesPhilipe Lins
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Philipe Lins62%
Paul Jones 38%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Philipe Lins a 62% favorite over Paul Jones in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1679 vs 1683), separated by just 4 points.
Paul Jones finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Philipe Lins 72%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.