Combat Edge Intelligence

Paulin Begai vs Shonte Barnes

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Paulin Begai
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Paulin Begai

“Le Chaat”

8-5-1Light HeavyweightAFC

1567Solid

Tale of the tape

8-5-1Record6-2-1
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'5"Height6'0"
-Reach41,5"
206 lbsWeight205 lbs
MMA FactoryTeamAmerican Top Team Asheville

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Paulin BegaiNow 1567
If they win+16→ 1583
If they lose-16→ 1551
Shonte BarnesNow 1567
If they win+24→ 1591
If they lose-24→ 1543

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1535 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1475 · 9 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.32
TBD
Strike accuracy
38%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.55
TBD
Strike defense
68%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
60%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Paulin BegaiShonte Barnes
155016002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

5 (63%)
KO/TKO
4 (67%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (33%)
3 (38%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Paulin Begai52%
Shonte Barnes 48%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Paulin Begai a 52% favorite over Shonte Barnes in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1567 vs 1567), separated by just 0 points.

Paulin Begai finishes 63% of wins inside the distance, Shonte Barnes 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.